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EU PoliticsSunday, 4 October 2026 · 2 min read

Pro-European Ruling Party Holds Lead in Latvian Election as Populists Gain Ground

Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs' United List takes 35.4 per cent of the vote, setting up coalition talks in Riga.

By Jonas Lindqvist · Filed Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Last updated 15:15 CET

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What happened

Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs' pro-European United List party has secured top spot in Latvia's parliamentary election, taking 35.4 per cent of the vote with more than 99.9 per cent of ballots counted, according to state television. While the incumbent ruling party maintained its lead at the ballot box, populist parties made noticeable gains, altering the balance of power inside the national parliament.

Why it matters

For citizens across Europe, elections in member states determine who sits around the decision-making tables that shape EU policy. A 35.4 per cent vote share gives the ruling party a strong starting position, but parliamentary governance relies on building coalitions. When populist rivals gain ground, governing requires longer negotiations, more compromises, and delicate balancing acts between domestic demands and national commitments.

The Brussels angle

In the European Council—the Brussels forum where prime ministers and presidents gather to set the EU's strategic direction—stability is the preferred currency. A pro-European victory in Riga provides reassurance to EU diplomats that Latvia will remain a predictable partner in foreign policy and regional security debates. Yet the institutional machinery of the EU is well-accustomed to the post-election shuffle: national leaders often return to Brussels with slightly tighter domestic political leashes after populist surges at home.

What happens next

Following the final verification of vote tallies, political parties in Riga will begin formal talks to assemble a governing majority. Prime Minister Kulbergs faces the task of negotiating a workable coalition agreement to secure a parliamentary majority alongside an expanded populist opposition.

latviaelectionsunited listandris kulbergsbaltics

Written from these sources

Facts are extracted from primary institutional material and written independently by The Gazette desk.

Institutions Correspondent · Council and member states

Jonas Lindqvist

Jonas Lindqvist follows the Council, Coreper and the member-state bargaining that runs late into the night. He specialises in reading the differences between the conclusions and the press conference.

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